The risk of nuclear war

Seth Baum, Robert de Neufville, and Anthony Barrett (GCRI): A Model for the Probability of Nuclear War. Doug Irving on how artificial intelligence could increase the risk of nuclear war. Should the U.S. try to deter cyberattacks by promising nuclear retaliation? From the Bulletin of Atomic Scientists, what is US nuclear policy, exactly? It’s still US policy to launch a first-strike nuclear attack: Mark Hertsgaard interviews Daniel Ellsberg, author of The Doomsday Machine: Confessions of a Nuclear War Planner. Fred Pearce on how lies about nuclear weapons changed the way we think. From Public Books, a virtual roundtable on presidential first use of nuclear weapons. The president and the bomb: Richard K. Betts and Matthew C. Waxman on reforming the nuclear launch process. Lisbeth Gronlund, David Wright, and Steve Fetter on how to limit presidential authority to order the use of nuclear weapons.

Trump’s offer to meet with Iran’s President Rouhani won’t get us a better deal — we had our chance and lost it. U.S. spy agencies: North Korea is working on new missiles (and more). “It stands as a sobering reminder to the world that the current American president is capable of treating even war-and-peace diplomacy as performance art in the interest of personal, rather than national, benefit”. I resent the fact that wealthy men I have never met are in total control of my fate: There is no reason to have a world in which the whims of Trump and Putin can decide the future of humanity.