From the Upshot, what is the needle? and other questions about live election forecasts. Andrew Van Dam on gun control, tariffs and the issues that have literally fallen off the map in the midterms. Midterm elections: How politicians know exactly how you’re going to vote. Jennifer Cohn on voting machines: What could possibly go wrong? This is what democracy looked like: Alicia Cheng on a brief history of the printed ballot. Ari Berman on how voter suppression could swing the midterms. Voters like a political party until it passes laws. National politics has taken over America: Democrats are finally investing in state-level elections — but candidates in those races face big obstacles in trying to get voters to care.

Josh Blackman (South Texas): Presidential Speech. The Bill de Blasio show: Laura Nahmias on the New York City mayor’s rise and fall on the national stage. Why is art so expensive? Gaby Del Valle on the $63 billion, “winner-take-all” global art market, explained. “We can’t save everyone”: The hopeless mission of the only ship still rescuing refugees. What 500 elections in 28 European countries can tell us about the effects of anti-immigration rhetoric. Should Robert Bowers, the Pittsburgh synagogue shooting suspect, be called a terrorist? Orban’s government vs. the social sciences: Censoring scientific lectures in Hungary. How can the news media do a better job covering elections — in a way that won’t leave out voters?

Missing wages, grueling shifts, and bottles of urine: Hayley Peterson on the disturbing accounts of Amazon delivery drivers may reveal the true human cost of “free” shipping. Silicon Valley and the quest for a utopian workplace: How Google, Tesla, and other tech giants could fix the broken relationship between employers and their employees. Bureaucracy as violence: Jonathan Weinberg reviews The Utopia of Rules: On Technology, Stupidity, and the Secret Joys of Bureaucracy by David Graeber. “No downside”: New Zealand firm adopts four-day week after successful trial. Let’s bring back the Sabbath as a radical act against “total work”. Why we need “blue laws”, the religious tradition that sanctifies life outside of work. The case against work: John Danaher argues that work is a bad thing.

From Vox, the battle over early voting, explained: Making voting more convenient is surprisingly controversial; and the surge in early voting, explained: More than 20 million Americans have already cast a ballot ahead of Election Day. Young and new voters surge in early voting. Midterm elections: Mapping out what issues Americans care about. Congress has no clue what Americans want: People in the U.S. House and Senate have wildly inaccurate perceptions of our opinions and preferences. At Trump rallies, women see a hero protecting a way of life. Anxiety high in campaign’s final days as voters prepare to render judgment on Trumpism.

In midterms, the right to vote is still at issue, too. Big Tech and the midterms: The scary thing is what we still don’t know. It's not a blue wave — it's a realignment of American politics. “Blowing smoke”: Sorry, pundits, but you have no clue what will happen on Tuesday. Andrew Gelman on why it can be rational to vote.

Etienne Billette de Villemeur (Lille) and Pierre-Olivier Pineau (Montreal): Frugals, Militants and the Oil Market. Martha S. Jones on the real origins of birthright citizenship. What Americans really think about birthright citizenship. How Tom Steyer built the biggest political machine you’ve never heard of. Could this Democratic dark money group fuel a tea party of the Left? What to know about the Tallahassee yoga studio attack. U.S. law enforcement failed to see the threat of white nationalism — now they don’t know how to stop it. U.S. sanctions against Iran just got tougher — what happens now? Idleness as flourishing: It is hard work to write a book, so there is unavoidable irony in fashioning a volume on the value of being idle.

Why cities dominate the modern world: Economic, technological and networking changes wrought by globalization have made cities the center of our world. Are “global cities” an antidote to populism and nationalism? Istanbul offers some hope. An inversion of nature: How air conditioning created the modern city. Are cities an environmental curse or blessing? Yes. This company wants to build a giant indoor farm next to every major city in the world: Vertical farming may finally be growing up. Empty half the Earth of its humans — it’s the only way to save the planet: There are now twice as many people as 50 years ago but, as EO Wilson has argued, they can all survive — in cities.

Mario Coccia (CNR): An Introduction to the Methods of Inquiry in Social Sciences. Katherine Hawley (St. Andrews): Social Science as a Guide to Social Metaphysics? Philippe Mongin (CNRS): Analytic Narratives: What They Are and How They Contribute to Historical Explanation. Dana Phillips (York): Ishaq v Canada: “Social Science Facts” in Feminist Interventions. Jonathan Feingold and Evelyn Carter (UCLA): Eyes Wide Open: What Social Science Can Tell Us About the Supreme Court’s Use of Social Science. What does it mean to do good archaeological interpretation? The introduction to How Behavior Spreads: The Science of Complex Contagions by Damon Centola.

Alexander Wuttke (Mannheim): Why Too Many Political Science Findings Cannot Be Trusted and What We Can Do About It: Assessing, Explaining and Improving the Credibility of Our Discipline’s Evidence Base. Online bettors can sniff out weak psychology studies — so why can’t the journals that publish them? Researchers replicate just 13 of 21 social science experiments published in top journals. More social science studies just failed to replicate — here’s why this is good.

Thomas Talhelm (Chicago) and Shigehiro Oishi (Virginia): Culture and Ecology (“Ecological psychology has boomed from a rare form of psychology to a flourishing field, including psychologists, sociologists, and economists”.) Seth Masket on the crisis in political science education. The introduction to The Decisionist Imagination: Sovereignty, Social Science and Democracy in the 20th Century, ed. Daniel Bessner and Nicolas Guilhot.

Jonathan Weinberg (Wayne State): “Know Everything that Can Be Known About Everybody”: The Birth of the Credit Report. “A collapse of the center”: Here’s what Jair Bolsonaro’s presidential win in Brazil and Angela Merkel’s weakened leadership in Germany tell us. Could one man single-handedly ruin the planet? Brazil’s new president Jair Bolsonaro’s war on the Amazon rainforest endangers the world by accelerating climate change. From the Chronicle of Higher Education, what’s the most influential book of the past 20 years? The election is almost here — that means Mueller’s next move is coming soon. Wait, have we really wiped out 60 percent of animals? A former famous person explains how being famous is awful: Jamie Lee Curtis Taete interviews Justine Bateman, author of Fame: The Hijacking of Reality.

Willem van der Deijl (EUR): Is Pleasure All That is Good About Experience? Heather Murphy on why scientists are battling over pleasure. Money really does lead to a more satisfying life. Vladimir Popov (CEMI): Paradoxes of Happiness: Why People Feel More Comfortable With High Inequalities and High Murder Rates? A “happy” world requires institutional change. There is an optimal point to how much money it takes to make an individual happy, and that amount varies worldwide. Brad Rassier on 13 lessons to make you really, truly happy — maybe. Why prosperity has increased but happiness has not. The introduction to The Origins of Happiness: The Science of Well-Being over the Life Course by Andrew E. Clark, Sarah Fleche, Richard Layard, Nattavudh Powdthavee and George Ward.

Happy, healthy economy: Livia Gershon on how growth is only worth something if it makes people feel good. Why self-help might actually be making you less happy. A history of happiness explains why capitalism makes us feel empty inside: Sean Illing interviews Carl Cederstrom, author of The Happiness Fantasy. The World Happiness Report 2018, edited by John F. Helliwell, Richard Layard and Jeffrey D. Sachs, is out.

Alan Greene (Birmingham): Parliamentary Sovereignty and the Locus of Constituent Power in the United Kingdom. James Meek on Brexit and myths of Englishness. Maria Mut Bosque (UIC): Ten Different Formulas for Gibraltar Post-Brexit. This is why the E.U. is being so tough about Brexit. Yves Smith on how we’re headed for a Brexit crashout. What would it be like? Swati Dhingra and Josh De Lyon on the realities of a No Deal Brexit. Can nothing relieve the Brexit gloom and must democrats throughout the world reluctantly accept that Britain’s self-inflicted harm is irreversible? You can download Brexit and Beyond: Rethinking the Futures of Europe, ed. Benjamin Martill and Uta Staiger.